Academy Blog

The Top 3 Dangers of the Current Price of Oil

[fa icon="calendar'] Sep 6, 2016 1:20:32 AM / by Robert Brinkman posted in Price of Oil, Chinese Oil, Advanced Investing

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Continuing our September theme of dynamics to watch that will affect global economics, let’s revisit an old subject, one that I’ve been frustrated by how wrong (purposely or ignorantly) the financial media diagnoses it – oil.  And yes, China is involved in this one too.

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3 types of Annuities and their importance to your investment strategy

[fa icon="calendar'] Aug 16, 2016 3:09:09 AM / by Robert Brinkman posted in Advanced Investing, Annuiites, Fixed Annuity, Index Annuity, Variable Annuity, Non-traditional investing

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I don’t believe I’ve spoken to any investor over the last two years that didn’t have some degree of anxiety about the state of our economy and the vulnerability of the stock and bond markets.  When we focus the discussion on how to offload risk, it’s interesting to hear some of the experiences people had during 2008 and some of the strategies they are considering in order to not have a repeat of that devastation.


In addition to discussing our private wealth manager platform, I frequently ask if they’re open to offloading some portfolio and future income risk to an insurance company.  After all, we offload all kinds of risk to insurance companies every day.  We pay premiums in case our house burns down, so the insurance company will pay to build a new one.  The State mandates that we carrier collision protection in case we lose control of our car.  The Fed now mandates that we enroll in a health exchange, so we’re not left out in the cold when we get sick.  And obviously if when we die with a life policy, the insurance company writes a check to our heirs.

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Market Update: JULY 2016 - Ignoring the Stock Market's Wall of Doom

[fa icon="calendar'] Jul 12, 2016 11:39:10 PM / by Robert Brinkman posted in Advanced Investing, Stock Market Volatility

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In November 2015 I published an ALERT titled "Climbing the Wall of Doom"; I’ve included some excerpts from that alert in this piece. Why? Because with the stock market setting all-time highs (again), I believe my position nine months ago remains accurate, and relevant.

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5 Reasons the Brexit is important and how it will affect the markets

[fa icon="calendar'] Jun 28, 2016 2:12:27 PM / by Robert Brinkman posted in Brexit, Advanced Investing

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In January, when the stock market had its worse start in history, we did a series of videos walking through the support and resistance levels of the S&P 500.  A support level is a platform that a market will bounce against as fears in the economy push the market down. 

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Market Update June 2016: The Brexit Effect

[fa icon="calendar'] Jun 28, 2016 2:11:47 PM / by Robert Brinkman posted in Advanced Investing, Brexit, European Union, Economic Impact

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I’m in the middle of producing a video series using the acronym T.R.E.N.D., where each letter stands for a specific dynamic that will determine what I believe will be a down trend for the stock market in 2016.  All the markets sold off roughly 3.5% on Friday, with the Dow dropping over 600 points, because the citizens of Britain chose, by referendum, to leave the European Union.  I don’t believe the market’s reaction to the Brexit is the specific beginning of the down trend, but it is an important piece of the puzzle that we will ultimately witness this year.

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Two Reasons Why the Fed Chief Met with President Obama in April

[fa icon="calendar'] Jun 23, 2016 5:45:29 AM / by Robert Brinkman posted in Advanced Investing, Central Banks

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Politics or Bank Failure OR could it be both?

The four most powerful central banks (Federal Reserve, Bank of Japan, ECB and China CB) are not only struggling to obtain local economic results, but their coordination is beginning to strain.  What about local, United States banks?  The "systematically important" banks, like Bank of America, New York Mellon, JP Morgan, Chase, State Street, Wells Fargo and CitiCorp?

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Things not going as planned for the Bank of Japan

[fa icon="calendar'] Jun 22, 2016 2:43:48 PM / by Robert Brinkman posted in Advanced Investing, Bank of Japan, Negative Interest Rates

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WHAT ARE PRIMARY DEALERS?

When a central bank wants to print money, it buys government bonds from the primary dealers and pays for those bonds with money from thin air. Every major bond market in the world has a system of “primary dealers.”

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WHAT IS A REVENUE RECESSION AND HOW DOES IT AFFECT THE MARKET?

[fa icon="calendar'] Jun 15, 2016 8:55:27 AM / by Robert Brinkman posted in Advanced Investing

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COMPANIES ARE EXPERIENCING SHRINKING REVENUE

A recession by definition is two consecutive quarters of negative GDP.  Wall Street has been able to utilize financial engineering, fully supported by the Federal Reserve and its low interest rate accommodation, in order to make earnings look better than they actually are.  Technically, we've been in a Revenue Recession since the middle of 2015.  Meaning, the two key elements that a corporation reports each quarter are Earnings Per Share (EPS) and Revenue. 

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Identifying the Trouble spots in this Market Trend

[fa icon="calendar'] Jun 8, 2016 3:32:06 PM / by Robert Brinkman posted in Advanced Investing

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The beginning of 2016 was the worst start for the stock market in history.

Poor corporate earnings, low oil prices, Europe's continued economic weakness, China's lack of transparency regarding their financial health, Japan's formal adoption of negative interest rates and the Federal Reserve's capricious attitude toward interest rate hikes, were enough to shake Wall Street's confidence.  We've since seen the low teen drop in value returned, and through the spring, basically a sideways movement in the markets.

 

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How to Make Money In The Upcoming Market Trend

[fa icon="calendar'] Jun 1, 2016 11:49:26 PM / by Robert Brinkman posted in Advanced Investing

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All money managers need a Trend in order to provide an investor returns; however, most people only experience positive returns when there is an up sloping market trend.

But what about when the trend is down sloping?

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